Category Archives: 5859

Health Care Cartoon

Well, it ain’t gonna fix everything, but it’s a start …

The Science of Health Care

From the New Scientist.  One of the graphs he goes through compares health care spending in Miami, San Fransisco, and in the capital of my my state, Salem, OR.  It turns out Miami spends near double what Salem does on care and gets about half the quality.

Evolver Zone

T. Ryan Gregory, of Genomicron, has put together a killer rescourse on Evolutionary theory for educators, students, and interested people.  It’s called Evolver Zone.  Right on!

Altruism against Predation

This is a review of a recent article, cooperation in Defense against a predator,  in the Journal of Theoretical Biology by Jozsef Garay of the Research Group of Theoretical Biology and Ecology of Hungarian Academy of Sciences.  Here’s the abstract:

The origin and the evolutionary stability of cooperation between unrelated individuals is one of the key problems of evolutionary biology.  In this paper, a cooperative defense game against a predator is introduced which is based on Hamilton’s selfish herd theory and Eshel’s survival game models.  Cooperation is altruistic in the sense that the individual, which is not the target of the predator, helps the members of the group attacked by the predator and during defensive action the helper individual may also die in any attack.  In order to decrease the long term predation risk, this individual has to carry out a high risk action.  Here I show that this kind of cooperative behaviour can evolve in small groups.  The reason for the emergence of cooperation is that if the predator does not kill a mate of a cooperative individual, then the survival probability of the cooperative individual will increase in two cases.  If the mate is non-cooperative, the–according to the dilution effect, the predator cofusion effect and the higher predator vigilance–the survival probability of the cooperative individual increases.  The second case is when the mate is cooperative, because a cooperative individual has a further gain, the active help in defence during further predator attacks.  Thus, if an individual can increase the survival rate of its mates (no matter whether the mate is cooperative or not), then its own predation risk will decrease.

Hamilton’s “selfish herd” theory (1971) claims that predation risk is lowered when animals huddle in groups, and is lowest for those that are in the middle of the “herd”.  Buffalo are a good example.  We call them selfish since if one Buffalo is attacked, the others don’t generally help it, they just run.  But, as a group they are safer in large numbers.

The trouble with such a theory is it doesn’t explain how altruistic behavior (helping out a fellow group member at the risk to oneself) would develop.  Garay’s paper aims to help make sense of how this is possible.

His argument hinges on a Game Theoretic model that shows that although in the short term, a non-altruistic strategy confers a better survival rate, in the long term the altruistic strategy does.

If there are only 2 animals, A and B, and we assume that a predator can only realistically attack one at a time, then the probability of A being attacked is 1/2 in a single round of predation.  So, in a one-shot game, if B is attacked, A’s best strategy is to cut and run, since helping B may result in injury or death.

But, if the same game is played over and over (that is, if they run the risk of being attacked often, as is the case in real life), then A’s best strategy is to help out B.  This might seem incongruous, but it isn’t.

If B dies in the first attack, then A’s probability of being attacked in the next round is 100%!  If he has a less than 100% chance of dying by way of helping B in the first attack than he is better off helping B since on the next round he’ll still have only a 50% chance of being attacked.  50% is certainly better than 100%!

The above is true even if B NEVER helps out A.  That is, if A is the only Altruistic one in the (2 man) group, then it is still to his advantage to continue to be altruistic.  But, if B also is altruistic (helps A when A is attacked) then this is all the better for A.  Also, B would then enjoy the same benefits as A.

What is interesting to me is that this argument doesn’t hinge on kin selection at all.  Kin selection is the idea that an individual is far more likely to come to aid of another individual who shares a large portion of their genome (like children, siblings, ect) than they are to a total (genetic) stranger.  But, here, the two don’t need to be related at all.  The risk of predation is enough to “glue” them to one another.


Garay, Jozsef.  2009.  “Cooperation in Defence against a predator.”  Journal of Theoretical Biology.  257 (2009) 45-51.

Hamilton, W.D., 1971. “Geometry for the selfish herd.” Journal of Theoretical Biology. 31, 295-311.

Wilson, E.D. 1975. Sociobiology.  The Belknap Press Harvard University Press, Boston.


Has TV gotten more “Sciency” since ER?  Maybe. But, I still haven’t brought myself to watch Numbers. Not true.  I saw one episode in which the main character said at a crucial point in the show, “All we need now … Continue reading

Joe Biden Interview

An interview with Joe Biden from 2004.  Not bad.

B: Yeah, let me make this final point. The irony of the neoconservatives’ exercise of power is, I genuinely believe, unrelated to terror, they weakened us. The very thing they anticipated has had the opposite result. They anticipated the leveraging of power would chasten North Korea, Iraq, Syria, Libya, etc. That’s why they’re clinging so desperately to the argument of relating to Libya. I spent 2 hours with Qaddafi — at their request, by the way, the president’s and the White House’s request. The guy doesn’t have a democratic bone in his body.

M: When was this?

B: Two weeks ago? I addressed the Libyan Parliament on condition that they in fact broadcast everything I said uninterrupted and unedited — and they did, nationwide. Now, here’s the point I want to make. The irony of all ironies is — and I’ll ask this as a general rhetorical question — do you think anybody — Let’s just take Iran. The rationale of Wolfowitz and company was — there is a more than a nascent, there is a genuine desire for democratization in Iran. There has been genuine proof and efforts of movement toward that. Whether it is Khatami, who okay, who pushed as far as he could but would push much further if he could. There was this momentum building and a critical mass being generated in Iraq [he means Iran] that, given sustenance and help, would eventually overtake the clerics.

Wolfowitz’s argument — I don’t know this for a fact, but the neocon argument was — the demonstration of power on their border, as awesome as it is, would chasten the clerics in a way that they would do one of two things: They would make a deal with and enhance the democratization taking place, or the democratizers would be more bold and move the clerics out of the way. I’m oversimplifying a bit, just a tad.

What has happened? Once the clerics realized that the hands of this administration are now tied in terms of our own public and the stretched-thin capacity of the United States military — 375,000 people engaged abroad — what did they do? Something they would have never done before that power was exercised. They wiped out, in the clear view of day, with all the world to see, the democratic instincts, the democratic institutions, and the democratic, how could I say it, the emerging democratic consensus. Unabashedly, they just said, Boom, 198 of you can’t run, you’re out of the parliament. It’s like King George II going out, King George II dissolving the parliament. Now think about that. I mean, literally, nobody’s focused on that.

Are Zoos Avoiding Evolution?

Dr. Evilution discusses and what teachers can do to make up for the it.

I like this idea: If you take your class on field trips to these places, design an exercise that charges your students with designing more interesting, evolution-based plaques. If you have a digital camera, you can take pictures of the existing plaques for use back in the classroom. Then get your students to send the ideas (slickly packaged) to the director of the place you visited. The students will enjoy being simultaneously engaged in both science and social change.